Wednesday, January 30, 2008

Super Tuesday forecast

The Atlantic's Marc Ambinder has a round up of where things stand now for February 5:

Based on polling and analysis and interviews with campaign officials.....

Hillary Clinton has an edge in New York, New Jersey, Tennessee, Oklahoma and Arkansas.

Obama has an edge in Idaho, Minnesota, Kansas, Alabama, Georgia, North Dakota and Illinois.

The following states lean to Clinton right now: California, Connecticut

The following entities lean Obama right now: Colorado, Democrats Abroad

True tossups: Arizona, Delaware, New Mexico, Utah, American Samoa, Alaska, Massachusetts

For Republicans, I'd say John McCain has a distinct edge in California, New York, New Jersey, Alabama, Massachusetts, Arizona, Connecticut and Tennessee.

Mitt Romney has an edge in Utah, Maine, Montana, Alaska, West Virginia.

Mike Huckabee used to be the governor of Arkansas.

And Missouri is a toss.

Let us know if you agree...



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